Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Increasing diversification and scale up across financial services businesses, supporting stability in earnings profile
With gradual scale up of fee-based businesses—such as asset management company (AMC), WM, PE, IB and fund-based business (housing finance)—revenue streams have become more diverse. The group is also focussing on scaling up its distribution business (financial products) through the broking and WM channels. Contribution from these businesses to overall revenue has increased in the last few fiscals. The group’s asset management businesses - AMC, PE -- utilise the distribution network of WM for product distribution, resulting in business synergies and improved return on equity (RoE).
AUM of the AMC business recorded a CAGR of ~20% for the last five years and stood at Rs 50,700 crore as on December 31, 2021 (Rs 43,400 crore as on March 31, 2021). The group has a niche positioning for its higher-yielding, equity-focused funds – with only 2% of the MF AUM in debt funds. The group has also high focus on passive and international funds. Around 34% of MF AUM as on December 31, 2021, was managed by passive funds. AUM of Rs 50,700 crore for the asset management business included assets under PMS (Rs 15,500 crore as on December 31, 2021), MFs (Rs 31,700 crore), AIF (Rs 3,200 crore) and offshore funds (Rs 200 crore). The PE and WM businesses had AUM of Rs 7,200 crore and Rs 34,200 crore, respectively, as on December 31, 2021 (Rs 6,600 crore and Rs 25,300 crore as on March 31, 2021). As part of PE funds, the group has managed five real estate funds and four business excellence funds till now. While the real estate funds focus on debt funding to reputed developers for mid-market residential housing projects in top eight Indian cities, business excellence funds focus majorly on unlisted companies for long-term investments. The group has recently closed the fifth real estate fund of ~Rs 1,090 crore and achieved first close of Rs 2,700 crore for the fourth business excellence fund of Rs 4,500 crore.
Fund-based business includes housing finance (through MOHFL) and sponsor commitments-cum-investments in equity MF, PE funds, real estate funds, AIFs, and strategic equity investments. Loan book of MOHFL and total quoted equity investments, including mark-to-market (MTM) gains, were Rs 3,493 crore and ~Rs 3,800 crore, respectively, as on December 31, 2021 (Rs 3,503 crore and around Rs 3,100 crore as on March 31, 2021).
Capitalisation remains healthy, driven by healthy internal accruals. Absolute networth and consolidated gearing were Rs 5,433 crore and 1.0 times, respectively, as on December 31, 2021 (Rs 4,488 crore and 1.3 times, respectively, as on March 31, 2021 and Rs 3,123 crore and 1.5 times, respectively, as on March 31, 2020). Further, as per the group’s risk policy, the maximum gearing will be restricted at 3 times (excluding borrowings for financing initial public offering for HNIs) over the medium term. The housing finance business had gearing of around 2.7 times on a standalone basis as on December 31, 2021 (3.1 times on a standalone basis as on March 31, 2021).
As on December 31, 2021, the group had unrealised gains of ~Rs 1,700 crore distributed among Motilal Oswal Equity Mutual Fund Products (Rs 770 crore), liquid equity shares (Rs 360 crore), Motilal Oswal Private Equity Funds (Rs 420 crore; PE and real estate), Motilal Oswal PMS Products (Rs 110 crore) and Motilal Oswal AIF Products (Rs 30 crore). These investments, apart from sponsor contributions as per the regulation, are strategic in nature and follow a buy-and-hold philosophy. This portfolio has MTM impact on earnings under Indian Accounting Standards; however, the timing and magnitude of realised gains remain uncertain. Nevertheless, even after removing unrealised gains from networth, gearing of the group remained comfortable at 1.5 times as on December 31, 2021 (1.8 times as on March 31, 2021).
- Strong market position in the equity broking business
The group, through MOFSL, ranks among the top 10 equity brokers based on the number of active clients, as on January 31, 2022, in the highly fragmented broking industry. As on January 31, 2022, the company had 8.1 lakh active customers on National Stock Exchange, as against 5.6 lakh as on March 31, 2021 and 3.8 lakh as on March 31, 2020. Business growth has been driven by acquisition of small brokers and partnerships with sub-brokers. The group has 26+ lakh retail broking clients and enjoys pan-India presence through 6700+ franchised/sub-broker outlets and 90+ owned branches.
The group had an active client market share of around 2.5% as on December 30, 2021. Its market share of the combined volumes of the Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange, in both the cash and derivatives segments, for the first nine months of fiscal 2022 was around 0.6%, with higher market share in high-yielding cash segment at 2.1%. Overall turnover of the business witnessed a yoy growth of 96% for the nine months ended fiscal 2022; with a growth in turnover of equity segment at 19% and derivatives segment at 102%. Blended yields have, however, declined over the previous fiscals due to increased share of volumes in the futures and options segment. Average brokerage (defined as gross broking income from retail broking by three months lagged active client) stood at ~Rs 4650 for the quarter ended December 31, 2021. Market position continues to be healthy in the institutional broking segment (despite increasing competition), backed by an established track record, strong execution capabilities, and well-recognised research team.
Weaknesses:
- Exposure to uncertainties inherent in capital-market-related businesses
A large part of the group’s businesses, especially broking and IB, remains exposed to economic, political, and social factors that drive investor sentiments. Brokerage revenue depends on the level of trading activity in capital markets. Specifically, since March 2020, the stock markets have seen high retail participation and daily trading volume coinciding with the lockdown to contain the Covid-19 pandemic and people remaining at home. A significant proportion of client additions at the industry level are in the age bracket of 25-30 years without relevant trading experience. Upward movement of the key benchmark indices during this period has attracted retail investors to market trading. While this has benefited the broking industry, including the Motilal Oswal group, sustainability of the market momentum will need to be seen. However, the impact on earnings is partially offset by the high share of business originated through franchisees, resulting in a more variable cost structure compared to that of peers. The group’s long-term focus is on diversifying its revenue streams and reducing dependence on broking operations. Further, AM, WM and PE businesses have revenue in the form of management fees as a proportion of AUM, providing some stability to the revenue profile of the group.
Additionally, the group commenced the housing finance business in the first quarter of fiscal 2015 to improve the stability of the group’s earnings via fixed interest income of home loans. While the business faced challenges in the past, corrective measures should support the business performance. Potential improvement in profitability from this segment over the medium term should help diversify the revenue mix of the group.
- Limited track record in successfully scaling up the lending business
In fiscals 2018 and 2019, MOHFL faced asset quality challenges due to seasoning of the book, impact of external shocks on the economy, and lack of adequate collection and recovery processes and bandwidth within the company. Gross NPAs increased to 9.3% as on March 31, 2019 from 4.5% as on March 31, 2018 and 0.6% as on March 31, 2017.
However, since fiscal 2019, MOHFL took several corrective measures, including increase in management depth and experience, strengthening of collections and recovery apparatus by creating a 550+ member team, and enhancing credit appraisal and risk monitoring systems. It made significant investment in technologies, processes and people to fill the critical gaps at operational levels to support and enhance business scale up. These measures have reduced slippages to Rs 71 crore in fiscal 2021 and Rs 52 crore for fiscal 2020 from Rs 601 crore in fiscal 2019. Also, recoveries have picked up in last fiscal following these concerted efforts. As a part of its strategy to clean up the book, it sold gross NPAs worth ~Rs 709 crore in the last couple of fiscals to an asset reconstruction company (ARC), which brought down gross NPAs to 2.2% as on March 31, 2021 from 9.3% as on March 31, 2019. However, on account of impact of second wave of Covid-19 in the economy, RBI’s regulation on the day-end reporting of NPAs, and the stringent norms for upgradation of NPAs, gross NPAs increased to 3.4% as on December 31, 2021, which excludes sales to ARC for the nine months ended March 31, 2022.
After facing challenges in asset quality during fiscals 2018 and 2019, the company had curtailed its disbursements in fiscals 2019 and 2020 because of shift in focus towards collections and sale of assets to an ARC. However, disbursements in fiscal 2021 and in the nine months of fiscal 2022 improved to Rs 270 crore and Rs 440 crore, respectively. Nevertheless, loan book remained flat at Rs 3,493 crore as on December 31, 2021, as against Rs 3,503 crore as on March 31, 2021. The company intends to grow its loan book prudently over the medium term, while increasing geographical presence. It is expanding its sales team to increase the disbursements and loan book. To manage growth in the loan book, the company will utilise its relationships with lenders and investors. Resources of over Rs 600 crore has been raised by the nine months ended December 31, 2021 (Rs 1,400 crore in fiscal 2021) at competitive interest rates.
Nevertheless, given the current challenging macro-economic environment, ability of the management to scale up operations in a profitable manner will remain a monitorable.